This kind of aid to Libya -- and every other state we can help move towards political and economic stability — will save us far more money in terms of a lack of future conflicts, struggles against terrorism, and energy export crises. Effective diplomacy, aid, and security assistance programs can play a critical role in reducing the threat Middle Eastern instability poses to world energy flows and the global economy, to moderate Arab states and Israel, and to homeland defense.
Failing to provide that aid will not simply be penny wise and pound foolish; the price of such a US failure will eventually be paid in US and allied blood. This does not mean issuing anyone a blank check, or offering major amounts of aid money before we really know Libyan and other country needs and capability to absorb such aid.
It does mean immediate US efforts to reform what already works, or impose conditions in ways the host country cannot accept. In practice, it means the following kind of carefully targeted US efforts, and ones that can be both far more effective and far cheaper than what we have done and are doing in Afghanistan and Iraq:.
Rush to create a much stronger US Embassy team with consulates or other entities to ensure we can help countries deal with ethnic, sectarian, tribal and regional differences. Only provide immediate, short-term aid when there is a clear imminent humanitarian or fiscal crisis, and working with European, Arab, and Asian donor states to make this as international as possible. Work at the country level with the same mix of European, Arab, and Asian donor states to develop credible coordinated mid and long- term efforts.
In the case of Libya, seek a European and Arab lead to the maximum degree possible. Do nothing by way of longer-term political, governance, security, and economic aid that the host country cannot credibly absorb and quickly come to help plan, manage and execute. Provide the kind of public input and transparency that ensure new,untrained governments have to consider all the factions in their country and that their people can hold the donor, contractors, and their own governments accountable.
Avoid any hint of Islamophobia while making certain that we do not support any form of true extremism. Rebuild our credibility in Arab and Moslem eyes without sacrificing real security concerns. Work with all the factions in the country that will accept US aid to develop effective political parties and electoral systems without setting over demanding and dysfunctional standards the host country cannot credibly meet.
Deal with moves toward democracy on an evolutionary basis and avoid provoking election and government formation crises that discredit change before it even begins.
Offer limited aid in governance, and only in-country aid. Avoid any mix of advisors and funding that reduces the need for new governments to do it their way, take responsibility, and see their limited talent pool diverted to aid efforts and contracts. Where possible use Arab experts, supported by a strong US country team rather than Western ones trying to do it our way.
Look for valid quick fixes using aid and Libyan reserves while laying the groundwork for larger-scale economic reform. Subscribe now. Most of its losses in the 1 November local government elections have been in metros, where it retained outright control of only two out of the eight - all of which were under ANC control following the first local government elections in The last president of South Africa under its apartheid system, Frederik Willem de Klerk, has died at the age of 85 following a battle with cancer.
Although he leaves behind a mixed legacy, he and Nelson Mandela were jointly awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for their work in ending the apartheid regime and steering the country onto the path towards democracy.
Neighbourhood watch. The article continues below. Ms Mr. Get information from Jeune Afrique Media Group: subscription deals, special offers…. Digital subscription. Africa Insight. Sign up. Their strategy is to slowly build momentum for regime change so that people are ready if and when the moment for a Tunisia-like uprising is ripe.
As part of this effort, various liberal factions are uniting for a major protest on January 25th, to coincide with the national holiday honoring Egypt's police forces. Still, the best hope for the "Tunisia scenario" to repeat itself in Egypt would likely come sometime after January 25th. After all, Mubarak is pushing 83 and reportedly ill, with First Lady Suzanne Mubarak said to be grooming their son Gamal for succession.
Opposition party leaders routinely call this possibility intolerable, and rumors regarding the army's displeasure with Gamal could make his ascent a destabilizing time for Egypt. Of course, the safe bet in Egypt is always on regime stability. But as Tunisia has demonstrated, anything is possible. Photo: Egyptians rally outside of the Tunisian embassy in Cairo.
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